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Home Business Current account deficit at 40-month high

Current account deficit at 40-month high

By
Saeed Akhter
-
December 21, 2021
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    Current account deficit at 40-month high
    Current account deficit at 40-month high

    کرنٹ اکاؤنٹ خسارہ 40 ماہ کی بلند ترین سطح پر

    The current account deficit reached 9 1.91 billion in November, the highest in 40 months.

    The current account deficit, which was 1. 1.76 billion in October, widened to 1. 1.91 billion in November due to an increase in imports, according to a tweet on the SBP’s Twitter handle.

    In this regard, Sami A. Tariq, Research Head, Pak-Kuwait Investment Company, said that the current account deficit has been lower than expected. The current account deficit was expected to be 2 2.5 billion.

    Fahdrov, head of research at Ismail Iqbal Securities, said there were also discrepancies between the SBP and Pakistan Bureau of Statistics statistics. The SBP reported USD 1.5 billion less imports than PBS figures.

    This indicates that payments for some goods purchased in November were not made in the same month. This amount will now be added in the coming months and the current account deficit is likely to increase further in December.

    According to Sami-e-Tariq, export earnings are expected to increase by 20 200 million to 30 300 million in December, while imports are expected to decline by 70 700 million to 80 800 million.

    کرنٹ اکاؤنٹ خسارہ نومبر میں 1.91 ارب ڈالر تک پہنچ گیا جو 40 ماہ میں سب سے زیادہ ہے۔

    اسٹیٹ بینک کے ٹوئٹر ہینڈل پر ایک ٹویٹ کے مطابق، کرنٹ اکاؤنٹ خسارہ، جو اکتوبر میں 1.76 بلین ڈالر تھا، درآمدات میں اضافے کی وجہ سے نومبر میں بڑھ کر 1.91 بلین ڈالر ہو گیا۔

    اس حوالے سے پاک کویت انویسٹمنٹ کمپنی کے ریسرچ ہیڈ سمیع اے طارق نے کہا کہ کرنٹ اکاؤنٹ خسارہ توقع سے کم رہا ہے۔ کرنٹ اکاؤنٹ خسارہ 2.5 ارب ڈالر رہنے کی توقع تھی۔

    اسماعیل اقبال سیکیورٹیز کے ریسرچ کے سربراہ فہدروف نے کہا کہ اسٹیٹ بینک اور پاکستان بیورو آف سٹیٹسٹکس کے درمیان بھی تضادات ہیں۔ ایس بی پی نے پی بی ایس کے اعداد و شمار سے 1.5 بلین امریکی ڈالر کم درآمدات کی اطلاع دی۔

    اس سے ظاہر ہوتا ہے کہ نومبر میں خریدے گئے کچھ سامان کی ادائیگی اسی مہینے میں نہیں کی گئی۔ یہ رقم اب آنے والے مہینوں میں شامل کی جائے گی اور دسمبر میں جاری کھاتے کا خسارہ مزید بڑھنے کا امکان ہے۔

    سمیع طارق کے مطابق دسمبر میں برآمدی آمدنی 20 کروڑ ڈالر سے 30 کروڑ ڈالر تک بڑھنے کا امکان ہے جب کہ درآمدات 70 کروڑ ڈالر کم ہوکر 80 کروڑ ڈالر رہنے کا امکان ہے۔

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      Saeed Akhter

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